Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.060788 0.072242 0.085111 0.100616 0.118773 0.139337 0.164374
2025-03-23 0.044139 0.059064 0.077752 0.102777 0.135306 0.176044 0.230810
2025-03-30 0.033372 0.049090 0.070537 0.101736 0.145715 0.205213 0.291470
2025-04-06 0.025955 0.041367 0.063975 0.099216 0.152345 0.228928 0.347002
2025-04-13 0.020530 0.035130 0.057959 0.095768 0.156198 0.248206 0.397763
2025-04-20 0.017569 0.032013 0.055904 0.097627 0.167787 0.279784 0.470298
2025-04-27 0.015064 0.029095 0.053539 0.098361 0.177308 0.308872 0.542060
2025-05-04 0.013020 0.026559 0.051316 0.098813 0.186138 0.337528 0.616153
2025-05-11 0.011479 0.024644 0.049833 0.100233 0.196642 0.369975 0.700190
2025-05-18 0.010434 0.023496 0.049558 0.103770 0.211326 0.411254 0.804335
2025-05-25 0.008838 0.020898 0.046014 0.100367 0.212259 0.427361 0.863895
2025-06-01 0.007802 0.019310 0.044249 0.100232 0.219474 0.455897 0.949834
2025-06-08 0.006767 0.017552 0.041900 0.098638 0.223748 0.479693 1.030326
2025-06-15 0.006172 0.016723 0.041463 0.101144 0.237006 0.523043 1.155147
2025-06-22 0.005429 0.015380 0.039628 0.100205 0.242614 0.551214 1.251757
2025-06-29 0.004705 0.013934 0.037301 0.097740 0.244412 0.571409 1.333567
2025-07-06 0.004039 0.012502 0.034761 0.094345 0.243543 0.585582 1.403677
2025-07-13 0.003708 0.011942 0.034347 0.096179 0.255365 0.629410 1.544676
2025-07-20 0.003366 0.011279 0.033550 0.096902 0.264537 0.668122 1.678039
2025-07-27 0.003053 0.010636 0.032699 0.097348 0.273056 0.706194 1.813892
2025-08-03 0.002808 0.010156 0.032224 0.098748 0.284222 0.751818 1.972543
2025-08-10 0.002653 0.009938 0.032478 0.102236 0.301384 0.813998 2.177971
2025-08-17 0.002312 0.009016 0.030469 0.098881 0.299487 0.828112 2.265174